This diagram shows that the Gallup measure bounces around a lot more than the Government's measure of unemployment, but they are positively correlated and more interestingly the government's measure lags Gallup's. The Government's survey is done the middle of each month and if you move the government's estimates forward by 14 days, the charts line up a little better. My prediction is that you are likely to see one hell of an increase in unemployment when the February numbers are released next month.
Prediction: Massive increase in Unemployment When the February Government Numbers are Released
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Oleh
abudzar
