If you believe the averages at Real Clear Politics, Romney is the weakest possible nominee. Giuliani, Huckabee, and Thompson are virtually the same. One thing that I will say for Thompson is that given he has gotten much less favorable publicity than Giuliani or Huckabee (particularly Huckabee), he might do relatively better than them farther down the road.
Average difference in races between Clinton or Obama and Republican
McCain . . . . +3 Percent
Giuliani . . . . -8.8 percent
Huckabee . . -9.3 percent
Thompson . . -9.75 percent
Romney . . . . -13.9 percent
Between Clinton and Obama it isn't even close. Obama is a much stronger candidate than Hillary. I haven't figured out the average difference but it looks like about 7 percent on average. Plus every Republican would apparently lose to Obama. One warning with all these numbers is that the general election is a long ways away, but these are big differences.
Average difference in races between Clinton or Obama and Republican
McCain . . . . +3 Percent
Giuliani . . . . -8.8 percent
Huckabee . . -9.3 percent
Thompson . . -9.75 percent
Romney . . . . -13.9 percent
Between Clinton and Obama it isn't even close. Obama is a much stronger candidate than Hillary. I haven't figured out the average difference but it looks like about 7 percent on average. Plus every Republican would apparently lose to Obama. One warning with all these numbers is that the general election is a long ways away, but these are big differences.
Is Romney the Weakest of the Possibly Republican Nominees?
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Oleh
abudzar
